Forecasts at the granularity you plan on.
A national monthly forecast can look accurate and still leave every regional team short. We build forecasts at the level decisions are actually made, and we attach honest confidence intervals to them.
Book a consultationWhat this looks like
Four things we are usually asked for. Most engagements combine two or three of them.
Demand and inventory forecasting
SKU and location level forecasts that account for seasonality, promotions and the stockouts hiding in your own history.
Revenue and capacity planning
Pipeline-aware revenue forecasts and staffing models built on the drivers your planners already reason about.
Hierarchical reconciliation
Regional and national forecasts that add up, so the numbers in the board deck match the numbers in the warehouse.
Intervals, not point estimates
Prediction intervals you can plan buffers against, with backtests showing how often they actually held.
How an engagement runs
The same four stages on every project, whether it runs six weeks or six months.
Discovery
A two-week sprint with your team to map the problem, audit the data, and work out whether this is worth building at all.
Scope and estimate
A written plan with what we will build, what we will not, the timeline, and what it costs. No deck, no retainer trap.
Build
Two-week iterations with a working demo at the end of each. You see progress in the product, not in a status report.
Handover
Documentation, a walkthrough, retraining and deploy scripts, and a support window while your team takes over.
What clients get out of it
Figures from real engagements. We will walk you through the full context on a call.
Daily granularity rather than a monthly national aggregate.
Every model validated on rolling historical windows before release.
Planning bands delivered alongside each forecast.
Tools we work with
We pick from these based on what you already run. Nothing here is mandatory.
- Prophet
- ARIMA
- Gradient boosting
- Hierarchical reconciliation
- Backtesting
- Pandas
Related services
Tell us what you are building.
Send a few lines about the project. You will get a reply from an engineer within two working days.